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Tuesday, 12 June 2012

Golf tips - US Open Tournament form guide

US Open Outright selections http://onebettips.blogspot.co.uk/2012/06/golf-tips-us-open-outright-selections.html
US Open player form guide http://onebettips.blogspot.co.uk/2012/06/golf-tips-2012-us-open-player-form.html


Hi all

As usual, my Tournament form analysis below.

My course analysis goes back to 2001 and I analyse in the following way:

  • Tournament experience, with a maximum 8 points if a player has played 6 or more times
  • Tournament history, with a maximum 10 points if a player has ever won the event, with further increments down to down to 2 points for any top 25.  
  • Tournament form in 2012, 2011 and 2010, with up to 4 points available for each year.  
  • Course experience points - As per tournament form, but for the specific course in use.  Not a factor here, as this course has not hosted the event since 1998.
As we are looking at course form in years gone by, not all in the field make the list due to 2012 being their debut year. 

So, looking purely at course and history form, with a ranking system that aims to differentiate between players who do consistently well and those who don't (either one hit wonders or those consistent performers who do not really challenge), we get the following results:


I am hesitant in advising the significance of these results as of course, the venue differs year on year.  However, the US Open is set up to be a brutal test for players, so those prominent in the above form guide know how to keep their focus an be patient during the inevitable spells when scoring gets tough. Perspective is critical here.  The first 6 holes are a real test and it is conceivable that anything less than a fine ball-striking start could see a player fall to +2 or worse.  Those experienced above in US Opens before know well that +2 come the close of Sunday is top 20 and maybe much higher.  The ability to play each hole on its merits and with full focus will take a player a long way this week.

You will see that my outright selections largely feature prominently here.  Baddeley, Puolter and Harman are exceptions to that statement, but I feel the slighlty different remit this year brings them more readily in to play.  Harman is an outrageous price for one with a fine junior record here (more about that to come in the outright preview)

Regards

Dave (OneBet)
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