Masters specials bets - http://onebettips.blogspot.co.uk/2012/04/us-masters-specials.html
US Masters recent form guide - http://onebettips.blogspot.co.uk/2012/04/us-masters-tips-recent-form-guide.html
So, Masters week is finally here. In addition to the usual tips and recent form guides, I thought I would share my course form rankings on arguably the most revered course in golf.
My course analysis goes back to 2001 and I analyse in the following way:
- Tournament experience, with a maximum 8 points if a player has played 6 or more times
- Tournament history, with a maximum 10 points if a player has ever won the event, with further increments down to down to 2 points for any top 25.
- Tournament form in 2012, 2011 and 2010, with up to 4 points available for each year.
- Course experience points - As per tournament form, but for a course. Not relevant here, but useful for example last week in Texas, where the course was only the host course since 2006.
As we are looking at course form in years gone by, not all in the Masters field make the list due to 2012 being their debut year.
So, looking purely at course and history form, with a ranking system that aims to differentiate between players who do consistently well and those who don't (either one hit wonders or those consistent performers who do not really challenge), we get the following results:
Ernie Els is in there just in case............
Perhaps surprisingly, Angel Cabrera ranks equally with Tiger at the top. However, A closer look at Cabrera's Masters CV gives some credit to the system result. 7th, 18th and 1st in the last 3 years, with 3 further top 10s further back, Cabrera is well worth a second glance at 3 figure odds. He performed well enough last week to suggest he has enough game coming in to the event as well.
Systems are a guide though, and I am not entirely convinced he deserves to be above Phil, whose record is stunning. Phil has played 11 times, with 3 wins, 5 further top 5s and a 10th. It is a fantastic record and calls in to question why he is quite such big odds, despite the creeping inconsistency in his game.
Trevor Immelman is next, with top a win in 2008, followed by 3 successive top 20 finishes. 11th last time out, he is a definite top 20 contender this week.
Geoff Ogilvy is another who interests at a big price. 4th last year, Ogilvy has played 6 times and never finished lower than 39th. Do not be surprised if Ogilvy puts another good week together this year.
Choi ranks 6th in my ratings, driven by 8th and 4th last two years and a further more distant 3rd place here.
Westwood and Scott rank =7th, Westwood with 11, 2, 11 in the last 4 years and Scott 2nd and 18th in the last two years.
Couples continues to play well here and Jim Furyk should have a better Masters CV; he finished 6th in 2001 and 4th in 2003, but has had nothing better than 10th in 2009 since.
The likes of Bubba, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy are so low in the rankings due to lack of experience and not potential to do well. Remember, we are looking at demonstrated form here, rather than an opinion of who will show up this week. Bubba has a 38th, 42nd and 20th here, so has some form. McIlroy needs no words from me to say why 15th is his best finish to date and Day finished 2nd in his one and only appearance here.
Hopefully you found the guide of some value. There are some players near the head of the tournament form guide who are very much dismissed by the bookmakers. I would expect that an old head around here who has done it before will again feature on Sunday. Good luck in choosing well
Dave
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