Zurich classic outright tips http://onebettips.blogspot.co.uk/2012/04/golf-tips-zurich-classic-tips.html
The form guide is likely to provide a good pointer in finding our challengers this week. Apart from the mercurial Bubba Watson, who came here with no real form and won last year, the rest of the top 5 had the following result in the tournament immediately prior to the event: 14th, 3rd, 8th, 14th. Bubba was 38th in his previous event.
This course rewards ball strikers, and it makes sense to be extremely cautious in backing players who are out of sorts with their recent game when coming in to this event.
Unlike last week's Valero Texas Open, this event has numerous players who had a top 10 in their last event and 3 players in Watson, Pettersson and Curtis who won last time out. This is a much better field than last week and players at the head of the betting who have been off their recent game such as favourite Luke Donald can certainly be taken on, despite his finishing 8th on his only appearance here last year.
The customary form table is shown below, with my usual look at the players at bigger odds in the betting market, despite their strong recent form
Brian Davis - Davis has been in my time team a couple of times in recent events, but at 125 and 50/1, landing a place at bigger odds and just falling short last time out. Davis is a general 66s this week and holds continued appeal given the place odds of 15.5/1. I can overlook Davis here, although he clearly has great recent form. With only a 17th and 19th to show in 2009 and 2005 respectively from 6 attempts at this course, he needs to find a lot to really challenge this week. With a modest 55th and 38th in greens hit in the last two events, I can leave him alone this time.
Bud Cauley - Bud Cauley seems to be the player most are scared not to back right now. Cauley continues to impress on tour and he certainly has all the attributes needed to add a win to his CV any time soon. A lack of course experience should not necessarily be a reason to rule Cauley out this week either. Last time out, Cauley was an impressive 9th in greens hit and sits in the top 30 on tour for scrambling, which is important here. In addition, Cauley's less than stellar putting will not be punished as heavily on this track. There is a lot to like about Cauley this week. He just misses out for me, although I would not deter anybody at 50/1.
Geoff Ogilvy - Ogilvy last played this event in 2004, which means he has never played this course. however, there are signs that Ogilvy is starting to creep back in to form and he is certainly a player to monitor if not back in the coming events. Ogilvy is 66/1 here and as soon as he genuinely threatens to place or win, his odds will tumble for such events. At the Masters last time out, Ogilvy was 1st in accuracy off the tee and 14th in greens. This is the first time since around this time last year that Ogilvy has put together 3 top 30s in succession; despite the lack of course form, Ogilvy's claims here are solid. My opinion is that 66s is OK but not compelling enough to risk a punt on a player who has been extremely inconsistent on tour in recent times.
Cameron Tringale - Tringale was in my selections last week and missed a 15 foot birdie putt to make the places. I gave Tringale a lot of consideration for this event as well as he was a sound 26th in greens hit last week, having been 9th before that. 18th and 28th here in the last 2 years, it is clear also that Tringale has an affinity with the course. Tringale is priced up the same as last week, but I feel his credentials are marginally less compelling this week. 8th in his last two outings, I just have a reservation that he goes on now and competes in what is a much better field this week. At 66/1, I feel he is priced fairly this time around.
Boo Weekley - Weekley was also in our recent staking plan and he only failed to make the paying places due to an alarming slide over the closing holes which saw Weekley drop 4 shots in 5 holes and miss out by one at Harbour Town. Weekley has been pushed out to 100/1 this week, largely I am sure due to the illness which forced him to withdraw mid-round at Texas last week. If fully recovered 100/1 is a great price for a man who continue to play great golf from tee to green. On a course where putting is far less significant a factor, he has the game IF he is fully fit. 10th in 2010 and 13th in 2009 here.
Miguel Angel Carballo - Carballo produced one of the best rounds on Sunday last week to claim 24th at the Valero Texas open, his 2nd top 30 in 3 events. However, I do not see a strong enough skill set to challenge the better players this week. Avoid.
Nathan Green - Nate Green has been in decent form of late, but decent form will not yield anything this week. Top 30 in greens last time out will stand Green in good stead here and a top 20 place is not out of the question. Four attempts here and no better than 23rd makes him a player to leave out this week.
No comments:
Post a Comment