Golf betting guide - Arnold Palmer form guide

Hi all,

Outright event tips up on site here http://onebettips.blogspot.co.uk/2012/03/golf-betting-arnold-palmer-invitational.html

A planned regular weekly feature, please see the latest form guide ahead of this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational.  As per last week, players are ranked by their average finishing position in the last 3 stroke play events.  

The right hand column highlights the players with the largest discrepancy between their position in the form ranking table and their position in the betting according to latest bookmaker prices. 

As always, all comments greatfully received

Price discrepancies - Top 10 with decent form and odds bigger than their form suggests

Dicky Pride.  30th here last year and performing consistently well on tour of late.  A top 5 finish would surprise despite this, but a deeper look at top 20 odds may hold appeal.

Jeff Overton - Strong recent form, especially with the flat stick.  GIR impressive last week, which will be important here

Charles Howell III - Chances here.  Likes it tough and one of the better players on tour for keeping bogeys off the card.  Big question about his ability to get it done vs just hanging around somewhere near the place positions.  Betfair/Spreadex/Top 20 appeal.

Henrik Stenson - Quietly turning in to a good golfer again.  Should have won last time out.  Form line of 20, 21, 3 is impressive and the tougher course challenge is likely to appeal.  Some dark horse value here, although quite a lot to trust.

Greg Chalmers - Playing very solid golf of late.  Questionable whether he produces again this week.  Indifferent headline stats last time out.

Ryan Palmer - Flashes of form of late.  A leap of faith that he puts 4 days together.

Brandt Jobe - 6th in my rankings for recent top line stats, allied to some good recent finishes makes this price look over big.  A few years digging needed for a top 25 finish here, but it does exist.  Some value, but not compelling enough to be a must bet.  

Daniel Summerhays - Continues to go well this season, driven by a strong approach game in recent weeks.  A useful attribute this week.

William McGirt - Fell away as forecast last week after a good opening two days.  Too easily dismissed by layers..  Could be some top 20 value.  

Cameron Tringale - Drove the ball better last week; actually pretty decent tee to green.  Putting a problem recently.  Needs to find something to make a challenge.

Regards

Dave (OneBet)