1pt EW Mark Tullo at 110/1 (Bet365, SkyBet) Loss 2pts
0.5pt EW Will Wilcox at 80/1 (Various) Loss 1pt
One of those weeks sadly, with both golfers just missing out, as well as DeLaet in Puerto Rico. Still, I am very happy with the value proposition offered by these players
I feel a need to apologise here, having instantly picked up Tullo personally at a quite incredible 125/1 earlier in the week after my partner @onebetUK alerted me to the price. Indeed, he was 125s across the board in what I consider to be a blatant miscalculation by the bookmakers.
The reason the tip is not on here is because I intended to only advise on the main tour, but you really should be on this if you like to bet on golf regularly. I would have Tullo around 40/1 for this event. Aguilar is rightly competing for favouritism at the head of the market, but the man who finished 3rd in the Scottish Open last year, who has a stellar record in his home country, is better ranked than virtually all in the field in World Ranking and who finished 4th on this course last year in the Chile Open (which he has won twice previously in 2005/6) is crazily dismissed here. I look personally at the Nationwide tour and may start to put some advice up on the blog more readily, as it seems there are real opportunities I can share with you. If he has some injury drama that I have missed, you have my apologies. I have searched; I can't find anything. 2008 apart, Tullo won at least twice in Chile every year between 2003 and 2010.
If I am right that Tullo should be 40/1, then let me put that in to context. At this week's WGC event, Adam Scott and Steve Stricker, who are 40/1 would be available at 125/1 and then 110/1. I think you might just see some money for those guys at that price.
Will Wilcox is another who often does his best work in this type of event, and is also for me too high at 80s. Wilcox actually opened at 90s with Bet365 and I just do not see that in a field such as this, where the best players of last year have graduated to the main tour, that he should be anything like this price. I have only advised a 0.5ew punt here, because in my mind Tullo is 40s and Wilcox 50s. Wilcox can be very erratic and is hard to call, so a more cautious punt advised here.
No bet is ever guaranteed and even at 40/1 I am saying that there are 40 times out of 41 that Tullo fails to win. That said, this is in my mind the best value bet I have seen all season in the outright golf market. Let's hope we catch the week when the value option delivers in real event time.
I was keen on Julian Etulain also, but initial quotes of 33/1 put me off. However, I see that SkyBet have pushed his odds to 50/1 and that may be worth a small wager as well. However, I will formally stick to those above.
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